Day 3: Turning Cold Traffic Into Warm Customers.

The first two days of this challenge brought in strong results.

Day 3 is about pulling back the curtain on the paid traffic side of the funnel—where the ad spend happens, where the conversions come from, and where the real levers of profit live.

A Reality Check on Sales.

Yesterday ended as another strong day, with over $1,200 in revenue and around $800 in profit. Today, by mid-afternoon, sales are at $420—unlikely to reach the highs of the first two days.

And that’s fine. That’s normal.

Sales aren’t a straight line. Some days soar, others dip. What matters is not a single spike, but the averages over weeks and months.

And when you’re running paid traffic, daily numbers always sit against the backdrop of ad spend.

Yesterday, I spent £325 ($435) on Facebook and Instagram ads. That spend generated 36 purchases at £8.69 each, giving me a 2.33 Return On Ad Spend (ROAS). In plain terms: for every £1 spent, £2.33 came back.

That’s the power—and the challenge—of paid traffic.

“Paid ads are the levers you can pull in a funnel. Tiny percentage shifts here ripple all the way through to profit.”

How the Paid Funnel Works

Here’s the flow when I send cold traffic directly to my sales page:

  • Main offer — The $27 guitar course.

  • Order bump — A $17 add-on, complementary to the main offer.

  • Upsell — A $97 bundle of additional guitar courses.

  • Downsell — A three-payment option for the upsell.

This is a common structure in digital sales funnels—and for good reason. Each step is a chance to gently increase the value of the sale.

The current numbers look like this:

  • 2.5% of cold traffic converts on the main offer.

  • 24% of buyers add the $17 order bump.

  • 6% take the $97 upsell.

  • 4% take the downsell.

  • 12% take the second downsell offer.

Individually, those percentages might look small. But stacked together, they’re powerful. Improving just one of them ripples profit through the entire funnel.

Saving Lost Sales

Of course, not everyone who clicks “buy” actually finishes the checkout.

Distractions happen. Confidence wavers. Carts get abandoned.

To counter that, I have an email sequence specifically for abandoned checkouts. It’s a simple series of messages reminding people of the offer, showing testimonials, and linking back to the checkout.

That sequence alone recovers an extra 7.5% of lost sales.

In digital sales, that’s gold.

Retargeting: The Second Chance

Then there’s retargeting. Around 97.5% of people who land on the sales page don’t buy. Instead of letting them go, I re-engage them with a new offer: my free guitar riffs tab book.

That small shift—paid ad to free opt-in—means they join my email list at very low cost (yesterday: 45 leads at just £0.29 each). From there, I can build trust, share value, and invite them back to the main course.

Where We Stand

Over the past three days, we’ve mapped both sides of the funnel:

  • Organic traffic and leads (Day 2).

  • Paid traffic, upsells, and retargeting (Day 3).

Now the picture is complete.

From here, it’s about optimisation: testing, refining, and nudging those percentages higher. Because that’s where growth happens—not in a single big day, but in the steady compounding of small wins.

Tomorrow, I’ll start breaking down the metrics in detail—what they mean, why they matter, and how each one can move the needle.

jonathanhowkins.com

I want to help Course Creators succeed in predictably and profitably generating more leads and sales using Facebook Advertising.