Yesterday was one of those days you’d rather not see.
Sales came in around the mid-500s and ad spend translated to roughly 530 dollars, leaving only about 27 dollars profit. Once you factor in general overheads, that’s effectively break-even.
Today is sitting just under 500 dollars mid-afternoon, so there’s still a chance to salvage something by the end of the day, but overall performance has clearly cooled off.
Because of that, I’ve reduced the ad budget again, now down to 400. There’s no sense pushing heavy spend when the funnel is hovering around break-even.
This is exactly the moment to shift attention from traffic volume to extracting more value from the people who already buy.
That brings us to the real focus: lifetime value.
Finishing the Page-Level Split Testing Phase
Before moving to email, I wrapped up the final page design split test yesterday on the upsell page. That means the stripped-back, simpler design approach is now being tested across:
the opt-in page
the main offer page
the abandoned cart page
the upsell page
So the core funnel structure is now fully in “testing mode,” and I need to let those run. There’s a limit to how many page-level tests you can run before you just create noise. From here, the biggest untapped opportunity sits after the purchase.
The Big Shift: From Front-End Profit to 60-Day Value
Up to now, most of the money in this funnel has come from the front-end sale. The backend has been underdeveloped and inconsistent. That means there’s a big opportunity.
The plan is to build a structured 60-day post-purchase email automation specifically for people who buy the main offer but do not take the upsell.
This sequence has three core jobs.
First, get people to actually use what they bought.
Second, deepen the relationship and engagement.
Third, present structured offers over time.
If people don’t use the course, they won’t see results. If they don’t see results, they won’t buy again. So consumption comes before monetisation.
Stage 1: Welcome, Setup and Support
The first few emails focus on onboarding. These set expectations, give a simple plan for how to work through the course, and point people to key resources.
I’m also using these emails to reduce support friction. Things like where to find downloads, backing tracks, or key materials. Handling those questions early saves support time and improves the user experience.
Around day four, I address another common issue. Some buyers feel the course is too advanced. Instead of jumping straight to refunds, I’ll proactively offer swaps to an easier course. In many cases, people prefer that over a refund, which protects revenue and keeps them in the ecosystem.
Stage 2: Engagement Through Content
Next comes a series of nurture-style emails built around specific riffs and lessons.
These emails highlight individual pieces of content, explain why they’re useful, and link directly to them.
The goal is to get people playing, improving, and feeling momentum. The more they engage, the more natural future offers feel.
I also mix in links to selected blog lessons. This introduces variety and different styles while keeping people active inside the brand rather than drifting away.
Stage 3: Structured Offers Over Time
Once people have had time to engage, I start presenting offers in a structured, spaced-out way.
Around the two-week mark, I reintroduce the academy offer. They’ve seen it before, but now they’ve had time with the first product.
Later, I rotate through different types of offers:
a blues bundle with an academy upsell
single course offers at lower price points
additional bundles presented in different ways
discounted academy options on payment plans
Each offer is separated by value emails, riffs, or lessons. The aim is not constant pitching, but a rhythm of value, engagement, and then offer.
The Final Push
Toward the end of the 60 days, there’s a final push on the academy at the lowest price. At that stage, it’s about capturing any remaining buyers and squeezing extra value from the customer journey.
Even modest gains here can dramatically change overall ROI. For many businesses, most profit comes from this backend period. In my case, it’s been underused, which means the upside is big.
What Happens Next
Over the next few days, I’ll be building this full automation from scratch, stitching together existing content and creating new emails where needed.
The key goal is to get this live and running before I travel, so the system can work in the background while I’m away. If this performs even moderately well, it could be the biggest lever yet for stabilising profit without increasing ad spend.
jonathanhowkins.com
I want to help Course Creators succeed in predictably and profitably generating more leads and sales using Facebook Advertising.